Merrimack at Canisius: Recap

Friday Feb 27, 2026 7:00 pm - Buffalo, NY
Odds: Merrimack by 8.5, Total Points: 129.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Merrimack MW 76.9%
CAN 23.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
CAN +8.5 MW 49.0%
CAN 51.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 129.5 Over 55.5%
Under 44.5%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
CAN +340 MW -4.9%
CAN +0.4%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MW 70.0 69.0 62
CAN 61.7 60.5 67

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MW CAN
Points/Game 68.5 62.2
Avg Score Margin +2.1 -9.1
Assists/Game 12.4 11.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 28.7 33.1
Effective FG % 49.1% 46.3%
Off Rebound % 22.5% 26.9%
FTA/FGA 0.382 0.314
Turnover % 13.2% 17.0%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MW CAN
Opp Points/Game 66.5 71.4
Opp Effective FG % 46.7% 52.2%
Off Rebounds/Gm 6.6 8.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 18.6 21.3
Blocks/Game 5.1 2.6
Steals/Game 8.2 4.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.3 17.5