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Merrimack at Bryant: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Feb 18, 2020 7:00 pm - Smithfield, RI
Odds: Bryant by 1, Total Points: 128.5

Matchup Menu: MW @ BRY

More Games From Feb 18, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MW BRY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MW BRY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 57.4
Field Goal % 35.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 32.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 18.5
Free Throw % 74.8% 67.6%
Ball Control MW BRY
Rebounds 33.3 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 9.0
Turnovers 12.0 15.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 5.6
Steals 10.0 6.1
Fouls 15.3 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MW BRY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MW BRY
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 22.0%
Player Fouled 19.7% 20.2%
Turnover 16.0% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 13.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MW BRY
Shot Blocked 9.9% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 17.8% 25.7%