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Hawaii vs. Gonzaga: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 19, 2011 9:00 pm - Vancouver, Bri (Neutral Site)
Odds: Gonzaga by 13, Total Points: 147

Matchup Menu: HAW @ GONZ

More Games From Nov 19, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAW GONZ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HAW GONZ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 59.3
Field Goal % 40.9% 53.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 45.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 35.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 18.8
Free Throw % 72.5% 73.6%
Ball Control HAW GONZ
Rebounds 29.9 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.4
Turnovers 11.0 7.5
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.4
Steals 3.1 6.0
Fouls 15.2 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAW GONZ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HAW GONZ
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 58.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 17.1%
Player Fouled 20.9% 21.8%
Turnover 15.7% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 4.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAW GONZ
Shot Blocked 5.7% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 27.7%