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Cleveland St at Wright State : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 1, 2011 7:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Cleveland St. by 6, Total Points: 121

More Games From Dec 1, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLST WRST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CLST WRST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 46.4 48.7
Field Goal % 40.1% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 36.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 21.6
Free Throw % 69.5% 68.2%
Ball Control CLST WRST
Rebounds 32.2 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 5.4
Turnovers 15.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 1.9
Steals 4.5 5.9
Fouls 19.0 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLST WRST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CLST WRST
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 22.9%
Player Fouled 27.8% 28.0%
Turnover 22.9% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLST WRST
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 17.8%