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UT Rio Grande at Missouri St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Nov 22, 2025 5:00 pm - Springfield, MO
Odds: Missouri State by 3, Total Points: 149

Matchup Menu: UTRGV @ MOSU

More Games From Nov 22, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 149.0	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 149.0	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Under 149.0	Similar Games	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UTRGV	MOSU
Season	13-18-0	19-12-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-13-0	17-6-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 2
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	7-3-0
Home	3-10-0	9-6-0
Away	10-8-0	10-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UT Rio Grande Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Baylor	154.5	81-96	Over	+22.5
11/08	Away	S Utah	159.5	95-72	Over	+7.5
11/11	Away	Boise St	162.5	65-85	Under	-12.5
11/17	Home	SW Adventist	--	110-53	Under	--
11/22	Away	Missouri St	149.0	67-74	Under	-8.0
11/24	Away	Illinois	164.5	73-87	Under	-4.5
12/03	Away	SF Austin	143.5	60-73	Under	-10.5
12/07	Home	Austin Peay	151.5	63-50	Under	-38.5
12/11	Home	UT Arlington	145.5	50-58	Under	-37.5
12/16	Away	Lamar	139.5	83-72	Over	+15.5
12/20	Home	College of Biblical Studies	--	109-51	Under	--
12/29	Home	New Orleans	152.5	69-85	Over	+1.5
12/31	Home	Nicholls	145.5	69-71	Under	-5.5
01/03	Home	Texas A&M-CC	137.5	59-63	Under	-15.5
01/05	Home	Incarnate Word	146.0	80-67	Over	+1.0
01/10	Away	E Texas A&M	145.5	69-77	Over	+0.5
01/12	Away	NW State	143.5	63-64	Under	-16.5
01/17	Home	McNeese	146.0	79-76	Over	+9.0
01/19	Home	SE Louisiana	135.5	68-65	Under	-2.5
01/24	Away	Hou Christian	140.5	68-51	Under	-21.5
01/26	Away	Texas A&M-CC	136.5	64-55	Under	-17.5
01/31	Away	Incarnate Word	141.5	106-93	Over	+57.5
02/02	Home	Hou Christian	141.0	74-57	Under	-10.0
02/07	Away	New Orleans	151.0	95-76	Over	+20.0
02/09	Away	Nicholls	148.5	92-72	Over	+15.5
02/14	Home	SF Austin	143.5	57-66	Under	-20.5
02/16	Home	Lamar	142.0	70-65	Under	-7.0
02/21	Away	SE Louisiana	138.5	96-75	Over	+32.5
02/23	Away	McNeese	146.5	68-75	Under	-3.5
02/28	Home	E Texas A&M	146.5	63-55	Under	-28.5
03/02	Home	NW State	139.5	74-62	Under	-3.5
03/09	Neutral	Nicholls	143.5	86-68	Over	+10.5
03/10	Away	McNeese	140.5	80-84	Over	+23.5

Missouri St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Missouri Southern State	--	88-70	Under	--
11/08	Home	Northwestern Oklahoma State	--	106-57	Under	--
11/11	Home	Arkansas St	152.0	85-86	Over	+19.0
11/15	Away	UT Arlington	143.5	49-67	Under	-27.5
11/22	Home	UT Rio Grande	149.0	74-67	Under	-8.0
11/24	Home	LIU	145.5	61-75	Under	-9.5
11/30	Home	Northeastern St.	--	92-71	Under	--
12/06	Away	Tulsa	142.5	74-98	Over	+29.5
12/12	Away	Xavier	151.5	57-75	Under	-19.5
12/16	Home	Oral Roberts	146.5	63-62	Under	-21.5
12/23	Home	Lindenwood	144.5	70-65	Under	-9.5
12/29	Away	Delaware	132.0	61-43	Under	-28.0
01/02	Home	UTEP	131.5	79-55	Over	+2.5
01/04	Home	New Mexico St	135.0	89-82	Over	+36.0
01/07	Away	Kennesaw St	152.5	80-90	Over	+17.5
01/10	Home	Florida Intl	151.5	79-71	Under	-1.5
01/14	Away	W Kentucky	148.5	72-87	Over	+10.5
01/17	Away	Middle Tenn	138.5	87-90	Over	+38.5
01/22	Away	New Mexico St	144.0	84-75	Over	+15.0
01/24	Away	UTEP	139.0	62-57	Under	-20.0
01/28	Home	Sam Houston	148.5	71-80	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Jacksonville St	135.5	74-67	Over	+5.5
02/07	Away	Liberty	140.5	76-79	Over	+14.5
02/12	Home	Louisiana Tech	136.0	78-79	Over	+21.0
02/14	Home	Delaware	134.0	67-76	Over	+9.0
02/18	Home	Kennesaw St	152.5	87-91	Over	+25.5
02/21	Away	Florida Intl	154.5	67-70	Under	-17.5
02/26	Away	Louisiana Tech	139.5	70-72	Over	+2.5
02/28	Away	Sam Houston	152.5	81-86	Over	+14.5
03/05	Home	W Kentucky	152.5	87-74	Over	+8.5
03/07	Home	Middle Tenn	145.5	63-75	Under	-7.5
03/10	Neutral	Florida Intl	152.5	75-72	Under	-5.5
03/11	Neutral	Liberty	142.5	77-69	Over	+3.5
03/13	Neutral	Louisiana Tech	134.5	66-69	Over	+0.5