Troy at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 16, 2019 8:00 pm - Bloomington, IN
Odds: Indiana by 21.5, Total Points: 144

More Games From Nov 16, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TROY IND
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TROY IND
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 54.7
Field Goal % 33.2% 54.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 37.6% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 25.8% 44.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 20.4
Free Throw % 70.0% 67.2%
Ball Control TROY IND
Rebounds 30.7 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 31.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 6.7
Turnovers 12.6 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.2 6.4
Steals 4.3 6.2
Fouls 17.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TROY IND
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TROY IND
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 23.0%
Player Fouled 21.0% 24.1%
Turnover 17.8% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TROY IND
Shot Blocked 11.9% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 23.0%