USC vs. St Josephs: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Nov 25, 2021 9:30 pm - Anaheim, CA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Southern California by 17, Total Points: 150.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC STJOE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USC STJOE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 60.7
Field Goal % 46.0% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 31.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 37.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 17.3
Free Throw % 69.5% 71.9%
Ball Control USC STJOE
Rebounds 38.4 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.2
Turnovers 11.4 11.8
Blocked Shots 6.4 3.4
Steals 7.5 6.8
Fouls 13.8 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC STJOE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USC STJOE
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 34.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 36.6%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.1%
Turnover 15.8% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC STJOE
Shot Blocked 5.7% 10.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 26.8%