USC vs. S Carolina: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 26, 2011 7:30 pm - Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)
Odds: Southern California by 2, Total Points: 110

More Games From Nov 26, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC SCAR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USC SCAR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 60.3
Field Goal % 46.8% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 43.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 36.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 18.5
Free Throw % 69.5% 70.6%
Ball Control USC SCAR
Rebounds 35.8 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.2
Turnovers 9.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 6.5 3.2
Steals 5.9 4.7
Fouls 14.0 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC SCAR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USC SCAR
2 Point Attempt 51.0% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 31.6%
Player Fouled 21.1% 20.2%
Turnover 13.9% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC SCAR
Shot Blocked 5.5% 11.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 29.2%