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Troy at Coastal Car: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jan 22, 2021 6:00 pm - Conway, SC
Odds: Coastal Carolina by 11, Total Points: 138.5

Matchup Menu: TROY @ CCU

More Games From Jan 22, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TROY CCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TROY CCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.9 55.0
Field Goal % 42.3% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 31.5 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 22.0
Free Throw % 73.4% 69.4%
Ball Control TROY CCU
Rebounds 37.6 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 9.2
Turnovers 9.5 15.6
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.5
Steals 12.0 5.9
Fouls 16.3 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TROY CCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TROY CCU
2 Point Attempt 35.2% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.3% 20.8%
Player Fouled 20.6% 21.7%
Turnover 12.6% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 16.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TROY CCU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.3% 27.3%