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San Diego at CS Bakersfld: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 18, 2012 10:00 pm - Bakersfield, CA
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: USD @ CSB

More Games From Feb 18, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USD CSB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USD CSB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 55.4
Field Goal % 42.9% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 15.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 31.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 23.9
Free Throw % 72.1% 73.0%
Ball Control USD CSB
Rebounds 31.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 12.1
Turnovers 13.2 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.0
Steals 6.7 7.3
Fouls 17.1 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USD CSB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USD CSB
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 17.8%
Player Fouled 25.8% 24.0%
Turnover 18.5% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken USD CSB
Shot Blocked 7.3% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 34.6%