San Diego at Loyola Mymt: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 23, 2012 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Loyola Marymount by 9.5, Total Points: 136

More Games From Feb 23, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USD LMU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USD LMU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.8 53.2
Field Goal % 43.7% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 27.5 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 24.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 17.8
Free Throw % 64.9% 65.0%
Ball Control USD LMU
Rebounds 32.1 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.2
Turnovers 13.6 13.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 1.9
Steals 5.6 6.6
Fouls 16.5 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USD LMU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USD LMU
2 Point Attempt 35.4% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 20.8%
Player Fouled 25.8% 23.9%
Turnover 19.7% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken USD LMU
Shot Blocked 3.6% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 25.2%