San Diego at Saint Mary's: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 10:00 pm - Moraga, CA
Odds: Saint Mary's by 19.5, Total Points: 148

Matchup Menu: USD @ SMC

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Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 148.0 Official TR Pick 58% odds to go over
Over 148.0 Decision Tree 58% odds to go over
Under 148.0 Similar Games 56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record USD SMC
Season 12-17-2 14-17-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-11-1 7-12-0
Streak Un 2 Un 3
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 3-7-0
Home 6-9-0 9-7-0
Away 6-8-2 5-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

San Diego Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/04 Home Occidental -- 88-59 Under --
11/07 Home Idaho St 152.0 68-71 Under -13.0
11/12 Home Idaho 156.5 78-74 Under -4.5
11/18 Home Grambling 149.0 78-68 Under -3.0
11/21 Home UC Riverside 152.5 71-85 Over +3.5
11/25 Neutral Cal Baptist 146.0 61-76 Under -9.0
11/30 Away Long Beach St 148.0 72-76 Push 0.0
12/05 Away San Jose St 144.5 69-86 Over +10.5
12/09 Home USC 158.5 81-94 Over +16.5
12/13 Home N Arizona 149.5 78-69 Under -2.5
12/19 Away UCSD 156.5 82-80 Over +5.5
12/22 Away Washington 159.5 56-86 Under -17.5
12/28 Home Pacific 150.5 66-54 Under -30.5
12/30 Home Gonzaga 160.5 93-99 Over +31.5
01/02 Away San Francisco 152.5 64-74 Under -14.5
01/04 Away Santa Clara 161.5 70-98 Over +6.5
01/08 Home Pepperdine 149.5 83-63 Under -3.5
01/10 Away Pacific 147.0 70-77 Push 0.0
01/15 Away Seattle 148.0 64-75 Under -9.0
01/17 Home Bethesda University -- 113-67 Under --
01/21 Home Washington St 152.0 96-92 Over +36.0
01/24 Home Santa Clara 162.5 73-85 Under -4.5
01/28 Away Pepperdine 151.5 92-88 Over +28.5
01/31 Home Oregon St 150.5 76-78 Over +3.5
02/04 Away Saint Mary's 148.0 60-87 Under -1.0
02/07 Away Loyola Mymt 151.0 63-83 Under -5.0
02/11 Home Portland 152.0 71-58 Under -23.0
02/15 Home San Francisco 148.0 79-92 Over +23.0
02/21 Home Loyola Mymt 149.5 65-77 Under -7.5
02/25 Away Oregon St 144.5 82-92 Over +29.5
02/28 Away Portland 148.5 74-87 Over +12.5
03/05 Neutral Loyola Mymt 144.5 66-62 Under -16.5
03/06 Neutral Seattle 139.5 56-58 Under -25.5

Saint Mary's Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
11/03 Home St Thomas 140.5 84-58 Over +1.5
11/07 Home Chattanooga 145.5 87-66 Over +7.5
11/11 Home Ohio 144.5 90-60 Over +5.5
11/14 Home N Texas 128.5 80-49 Over +0.5
11/19 Home Arkansas St 149.5 85-72 Over +7.5
11/22 Home UC Merced -- 96-42 Under --
11/26 Neutral Wichita St 139.5 70-65 Under -4.5
11/27 Neutral Virginia Tech 144.5 77-66 Under -1.5
11/28 Neutral Vanderbilt 148.5 71-96 Over +18.5
12/07 Away Davidson 137.5 70-61 Under -6.5
12/14 Neutral Boise St 139.5 67-68 Under -4.5
12/19 Home Florida Atlantic 145.5 88-75 Over +17.5
12/22 Home N Iowa 132.5 63-58 Under -11.5
12/28 Away Loyola Mymt 143.0 78-73 Over +8.0
12/30 Away Pepperdine 141.5 72-45 Under -24.5
01/02 Home Portland 146.5 78-57 Under -11.5
01/04 Home Seattle 139.5 93-76 Over +29.5
01/10 Home Washington St 143.5 88-82 Over +26.5
01/13 Away San Francisco 140.5 82-68 Over +9.5
01/17 Away Santa Clara 153.0 54-62 Under -37.0
01/21 Home Oregon St 141.5 81-51 Under -9.5
01/24 Away Portland 145.5 75-69 Under -1.5
01/31 Away Gonzaga 144.5 65-73 Under -6.5
02/04 Home San Diego 148.0 87-60 Under -1.0
02/07 Home San Francisco 142.5 79-54 Under -9.5
02/11 Home Pepperdine 142.5 88-60 Over +5.5
02/14 Away Pacific 135.5 72-61 Under -2.5
02/18 Away Seattle 133.0 72-70 Over +9.0
02/21 Away Washington St 148.5 83-67 Over +1.5
02/25 Home Santa Clara 153.5 86-67 Under -0.5
02/28 Home Gonzaga 143.5 70-59 Under -14.5
03/09 Neutral Santa Clara 150.5 71-76 Under -3.5