San Diego at Saint Mary's: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 10:00 pm - Moraga, CA
Odds: Saint Mary's by 19.5, Total Points: 148

Matchup Menu: USD @ SMC

More Games From Feb 4, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
San Diego +19.5 Official TR Pick San Diego 50% odds to cover
San Diego +19.5 Power Rating Model San Diego 69% odds to cover
San Diego +19.5 Decision Tree San Diego 50% odds to cover
Saint Mary's -19.5 Similar Games Saint Mary's 58% odds to cover
Saint Mary's -19.5 Predictive Ratings Saint Mary's 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USD adv SMC
Season 16-15-0 19-12-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-9-0 13-6-0
Streak W2 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 3-7-0 8-2-0
Home 10-5-0 12-4-0
Away 6-10-0 7-8-0

San Diego Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Occidental -- W by 29 --
11/07 Home Idaho St -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
11/12 Home Idaho +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
11/18 Home Grambling -5.5 W by 10 +4.5
11/21 Home UC Riverside -7.5 L by 14 -21.5
11/25 Neutral Cal Baptist +8.5 L by 15 -6.5
11/30 Away Long Beach St -2.5 L by 4 -6.5
12/05 Away San Jose St +7.0 L by 17 -10.0
12/09 Home USC +13.5 L by 13 +0.5
12/13 Home N Arizona -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
12/19 Away UCSD +12.5 W by 2 +14.5
12/22 Away Washington +18.0 L by 30 -12.0
12/28 Home Pacific +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
12/30 Home Gonzaga +29.0 L by 6 +23.0
01/02 Away San Francisco +12.0 L by 10 +2.0
01/04 Away Santa Clara +17.5 L by 28 -10.5
01/08 Home Pepperdine -4.5 W by 20 +15.5
01/10 Away Pacific +8.0 L by 7 +1.0
01/15 Away Seattle +9.0 L by 11 -2.0
01/17 Home Bethesda University -- W by 46 --
01/21 Home Washington St +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
01/24 Home Santa Clara +13.5 L by 12 +1.5
01/28 Away Pepperdine -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
01/31 Home Oregon St -3.5 L by 2 -5.5
02/04 Away Saint Mary's +19.5 L by 27 -7.5
02/07 Away Loyola Mymt +5.5 L by 20 -14.5
02/11 Home Portland -3.0 W by 13 +10.0
02/15 Home San Francisco +5.0 L by 13 -8.0
02/21 Home Loyola Mymt +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
02/25 Away Oregon St +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
02/28 Away Portland +2.5 L by 13 -10.5
03/05 Neutral Loyola Mymt +5.5 W by 4 +9.5
03/06 Neutral Seattle +8.5 L by 2 +6.5

Saint Mary's Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home St Thomas -13.0 W by 26 +13.0
11/07 Home Chattanooga -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
11/11 Home Ohio -17.5 W by 30 +12.5
11/14 Home N Texas -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
11/19 Home Arkansas St -20.5 W by 13 -7.5
11/22 Home UC Merced -- W by 54 --
11/26 Neutral Wichita St -9.5 W by 5 -4.5
11/27 Neutral Virginia Tech -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
11/28 Neutral Vanderbilt +4.0 L by 25 -21.0
12/07 Away Davidson -8.5 W by 9 +0.5
12/14 Neutral Boise St -2.5 L by 1 -3.5
12/19 Home Florida Atlantic -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
12/22 Home N Iowa -11.5 W by 5 -6.5
12/28 Away Loyola Mymt -9.5 W by 5 -4.5
12/30 Away Pepperdine -20.0 W by 27 +7.0
01/02 Home Portland -19.5 W by 21 +1.5
01/04 Home Seattle -11.5 W by 17 +5.5
01/10 Home Washington St -15.5 W by 6 -9.5
01/13 Away San Francisco -5.5 W by 14 +8.5
01/17 Away Santa Clara +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
01/21 Home Oregon St -19.5 W by 30 +10.5
01/24 Away Portland -15.0 W by 6 -9.0
01/31 Away Gonzaga +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
02/04 Home San Diego -19.5 W by 27 +7.5
02/07 Home San Francisco -12.0 W by 25 +13.0
02/11 Home Pepperdine -23.5 W by 28 +4.5
02/14 Away Pacific -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
02/18 Away Seattle -9.5 W by 2 -7.5
02/21 Away Washington St -8.5 W by 16 +7.5
02/25 Home Santa Clara -5.5 W by 19 +13.5
02/28 Home Gonzaga +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/09 Neutral Santa Clara -4.5 L by 5 -9.5