CS Fullerton at Cal St Nrdge : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 26, 2012 10:05 pm - Northridge, CA
Odds: Cal St. Fullerton by 6, Total Points: 154

More Games From Jan 26, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CSFU CSNR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 52.8
Field Goal % 42.5% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 14.2
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 34.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 27.0
Free Throw % 70.6% 71.6%
Ball Control CSFU CSNR
Rebounds 35.2 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.2
Turnovers 11.6 11.4
Blocked Shots 1.3 2.9
Steals 4.6 3.9
Fouls 20.7 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSFU CSNR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CSFU CSNR
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 17.4%
Player Fouled 26.6% 28.4%
Turnover 15.9% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSFU CSNR
Shot Blocked 5.6% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 24.8%