CS Fullerton at UC Riverside: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 11, 2020 8:00 pm - Riverside, CA
Odds: UC Riverside by 5, Total Points: 126.5

More Games From Jan 11, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSF UCRV
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CSF UCRV
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 60.8
Field Goal % 37.4% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 37.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 10.8
Free Throw % 69.9% 59.2%
Ball Control CSF UCRV
Rebounds 26.7 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 4.3 11.5
Turnovers 13.1 15.9
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.1
Steals 5.3 6.7
Fouls 13.3 20.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSF UCRV
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CSF UCRV
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 29.3%
Player Fouled 27.2% 18.0%
Turnover 17.8% 21.6%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSF UCRV
Shot Blocked 5.1% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 11.6% 33.9%