Detroit at IL-Chicago : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 29, 2011 8:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Detroit Mercy by 7, Total Points: 139

More Games From Dec 29, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET UIC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DET UIC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 65.7 60.0
Field Goal % 38.2% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 34.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 24.7
Free Throw % 75.0% 74.5%
Ball Control DET UIC
Rebounds 36.1 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 31.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 9.1
Turnovers 11.7 12.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 7.5
Steals 5.6 5.4
Fouls 18.6 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET UIC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DET UIC
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 21.1%
Player Fouled 22.4% 23.6%
Turnover 14.9% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET UIC
Shot Blocked 12.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 26.7%