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Grambling St at Arizona: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 27, 2020 5:00 pm - Tucson, AZ
Odds: Arizona by 30, Total Points: 140.5

Matchup Menu: GRAM @ ARIZ

More Games From Nov 27, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM ARIZ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting GRAM ARIZ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 60.0
Field Goal % 37.0% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 38.5% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.3 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 36.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 26.7
Free Throw % 70.7% 71.0%
Ball Control GRAM ARIZ
Rebounds 26.2 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 19.0 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 14.4
Turnovers 13.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.3
Steals 6.3 7.9
Fouls 16.5 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM ARIZ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with GRAM ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 52.1% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 22.9%
Player Fouled 17.6% 22.6%
Turnover 18.0% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM ARIZ
Shot Blocked 7.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 43.1%