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Clemson at Hawaii : Box Score Simulation

Sunday Dec 25, 2011 4:30 pm - Honolulu, HI
Odds: Clemson by 6.5, Total Points: 129.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLEM HAW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CLEM HAW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.9 53.6
Field Goal % 49.2% 37.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 40.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 32.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 17.3
Free Throw % 75.0% 70.6%
Ball Control CLEM HAW
Rebounds 36.0 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 7.5
Turnovers 10.9 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.4 1.8
Steals 6.2 4.3
Fouls 16.9 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLEM HAW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CLEM HAW
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 27.1%
Player Fouled 27.6% 24.6%
Turnover 15.8% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLEM HAW
Shot Blocked 3.5% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 20.8%