Memphis vs. Tennessee: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 22, 2011 2:00 pm - Lahaina, HI (Neutral Site)
Odds: Memphis by 4, Total Points: 146

More Games From Nov 22, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM TENN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MEM TENN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 55.9
Field Goal % 37.9% 35.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.9% 41.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 27.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 22.0
Free Throw % 67.8% 75.2%
Ball Control MEM TENN
Rebounds 38.8 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 10.5
Turnovers 14.3 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.8
Steals 7.9 6.6
Fouls 18.3 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM TENN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MEM TENN
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 25.1%
Player Fouled 23.2% 25.5%
Turnover 19.8% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM TENN
Shot Blocked 8.8% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 27.3%