Tuesday Nov 22, 2011 7:30 pm -
Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: North Carolina by 25.5, Total Points: 146.5
NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.
|Points||Subscribe to view|
|Total Points||Subscribe to view|
|Points From 2-Pointers||Subscribe to view|
|Points From 3-Pointers||Subscribe to view|
|Points From Free Throws||Subscribe to view|
|Field Goals Made||Subscribe to view|
|Field Goals Attempted||59.4||58.9|
|Field Goal %||40.0%||42.2%|
|2 Pointers Made||Subscribe to view|
|2 Pointers Attempted||34.6||40.9|
|2 Point Shooting %||43.1%||46.3%|
|3 Pointers Made||Subscribe to view|
|3 Pointers Attempted||24.8||18.0|
|3 Point Shooting %||35.7%||32.9%|
|Free Throws Made||Subscribe to view|
|Free Throws Attempted||17.0||32.0|
|Free Throw %||65.4%||65.3%|
|Rebounds - Defensive||25.8||29.8|
|Rebounds - Offensive||9.0||14.6|
Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.
NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.
|Total Possessions||Subscribe to view|
|Effective Scoring Chances||Subscribe to view|
|% of Possessions with||TNST||UNC|
|2 Point Attempt||40.9%||45.2%|
|3 Point Attempt||29.3%||19.9%|
|Odds Per Shot Taken||TNST||UNC|
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