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Princeton at Florida St: Box Score Simulation

Friday Dec 30, 2011 7:00 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Florida State by 11.5, Total Points: 119.5

Matchup Menu: PRIN @ FSU

More Games From Dec 30, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN FSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PRIN FSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 56.2
Field Goal % 43.9% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 27.7 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 32.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 19.1
Free Throw % 78.3% 70.5%
Ball Control PRIN FSU
Rebounds 30.9 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.0
Turnovers 9.9 9.7
Blocked Shots 0.9 3.7
Steals 4.5 6.1
Fouls 14.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN FSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PRIN FSU
2 Point Attempt 35.0% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 35.3% 22.0%
Player Fouled 24.7% 21.3%
Turnover 14.1% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN FSU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 1.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 25.6%