Auburn vs. Mississippi: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Mar 8, 2012 7:30 pm - New Orleans, LA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi by 4, Total Points: 120

More Games From Mar 8, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring AUB MISS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting AUB MISS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 57.9
Field Goal % 47.3% 36.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 38.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 32.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 26.6
Free Throw % 74.8% 73.0%
Ball Control AUB MISS
Rebounds 40.9 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 12.0
Turnovers 10.2 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.3
Steals 6.2 6.9
Fouls 17.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AUB MISS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with AUB MISS
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 20.2%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.6%
Turnover 14.2% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken AUB MISS
Shot Blocked 7.6% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 35.9% 29.7%