TN State vs. Murray St : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Mar 3, 2012 2:00 pm - Nashville, TN (Neutral Site)
Odds: Murray St. by 7, Total Points: 132

More Games From Mar 3, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TNST MUST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 55.0
Field Goal % 38.7% 54.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 62.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 24.9% 40.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 27.4
Free Throw % 69.2% 74.3%
Ball Control TNST MUST
Rebounds 30.1 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.5
Turnovers 16.2 12.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 5.2
Steals 6.5 7.2
Fouls 19.7 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNST MUST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TNST MUST
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 23.3%
Player Fouled 22.0% 26.2%
Turnover 21.5% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNST MUST
Shot Blocked 9.5% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 32.3%