Jackson St at S Methodist : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 15, 2011 8:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JST SMU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JST SMU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 40.8
Field Goal % 30.4% 53.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 34.0% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 10.4
3 Point Shooting % 25.3% 37.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 33.3
Free Throw % 62.0% 69.1%
Ball Control JST SMU
Rebounds 28.4 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 16.6 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.6
Turnovers 13.2 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.4
Steals 5.4 7.1
Fouls 21.7 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JST SMU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JST SMU
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 13.9%
Player Fouled 19.5% 33.3%
Turnover 20.2% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken JST SMU
Shot Blocked 11.0% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 34.1%