TX Southern at Alabama St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 27, 2021 5:30 pm - Montgomery, AL
Odds: Texas Southern by 11, Total Points: 144

More Games From Feb 27, 2021

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO ALST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TXSO ALST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 63.9
Field Goal % 39.8% 33.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 38.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 25.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 19.7
Free Throw % 73.6% 72.4%
Ball Control TXSO ALST
Rebounds 42.9 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 32.4 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 12.6
Turnovers 12.2 9.4
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.3
Steals 5.1 6.8
Fouls 14.6 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO ALST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TXSO ALST
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 29.7%
Player Fouled 22.5% 20.2%
Turnover 16.9% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO ALST
Shot Blocked 6.9% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 28.1%