at Iowa: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 22, 2018 1:00 pm - Iowa City, IA
Odds: Iowa by 33.5, Total Points: 181

More Games From Dec 22, 2018

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IOWA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting IOWA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 67.4 62.3
Field Goal % 34.8% 53.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 26.5 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 63.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 40.9 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 40.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 28.4
Free Throw % 65.9% 74.9%
Ball Control IOWA
Rebounds 30.9 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 13.9
Turnovers 12.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.9
Steals 6.1 6.2
Fouls 18.5 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IOWA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with IOWA
2 Point Attempt 29.4% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 45.4% 30.5%
Player Fouled 14.9% 24.0%
Turnover 16.7% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IOWA
Shot Blocked 6.3% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 41.6%