Towson at Coppin State : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 14, 2011 7:30 pm - Baltimore, MD
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TOWS COPN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 49.4
Field Goal % 51.9% 37.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 60.1% 39.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 33.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 33.2 29.5
Free Throw % 69.6% 65.3%
Ball Control TOWS COPN
Rebounds 44.1 24.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 17.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.4 7.3
Turnovers 11.8 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.5
Steals 6.0 4.7
Fouls 20.8 20.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS COPN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TOWS COPN
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 23.8%
Player Fouled 28.6% 28.7%
Turnover 16.3% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS COPN
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 45.1% 19.7%