Princeton vs. Morehead St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 26, 2011 2:00 pm - Lewisburg, PA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Princeton by 6, Total Points: 121

More Games From Nov 26, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN MORE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PRIN MORE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 54.7
Field Goal % 42.6% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 34.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 12.7
Free Throw % 80.1% 73.1%
Ball Control PRIN MORE
Rebounds 28.9 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 8.3
Turnovers 6.5 10.3
Blocked Shots 0.8 3.4
Steals 4.8 3.7
Fouls 11.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN MORE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PRIN MORE
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 33.7%
Player Fouled 24.8% 17.6%
Turnover 9.9% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN MORE
Shot Blocked 6.3% 1.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 27.0%