TX Southern at Oregon: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 21, 2019 10:30 pm - Eugene, OR
Odds: Oregon by 27.5, Total Points: 145

More Games From Dec 21, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO ORE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TXSO ORE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 59.6
Field Goal % 41.0% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.5 27.6
3 Point Shooting % 25.8% 37.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 22.0
Free Throw % 69.1% 68.1%
Ball Control TXSO ORE
Rebounds 34.2 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.1
Turnovers 16.4 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 5.3
Steals 4.9 7.4
Fouls 17.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO ORE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TXSO ORE
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 17.5% 33.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 24.3%
Turnover 22.6% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO ORE
Shot Blocked 9.0% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 28.2%