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Missouri at Alabama: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Jan 27, 2026 8:00 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 10.5, Total Points: 166.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Missouri +10.5 Official TR Pick Missouri 50% odds to cover
Missouri +10.5 Power Rating Model Missouri 67% odds to cover
Missouri +10.5 Similar Games Missouri 57% odds to cover
Missouri +10.5 Decision Tree Missouri 51% odds to cover
Alabama -10.5 Predictive Ratings Alabama 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIZZ adv ALA
Season 14-19-0 15-19-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-10-0 8-11-0
Streak L4 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 8-10-0 6-9-0
Away 6-9-0 9-10-0

Missouri Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Howard -19.5 W by 21 +1.5
11/07 Home SE Missouri St -25.5 W by 5 -20.5
11/09 Home VMI -23.5 W by 38 +14.5
11/12 Home Minnesota -7.5 W by 23 +15.5
11/17 Home Prairie View -34.5 W by 18 -16.5
11/20 Home South Dakota -25.0 W by 34 +9.0
11/25 Home S Carolina St -34.5 W by 32 -2.5
11/28 Home Cleveland St -32.0 W by 27 -5.0
12/02 Away Notre Dame -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
12/07 Neutral Kansas +5.5 L by 20 -14.5
12/11 Home Alabama St -26.5 W by 8 -18.5
12/14 Home Bethune -20.5 W by 22 +1.5
12/22 Neutral Illinois +8.5 L by 43 -34.5
01/03 Home Florida +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
01/07 Away Kentucky +12.5 W by 5 +17.5
01/10 Away Mississippi (Pick) L by 7 -7.0
01/14 Home Auburn +1.0 W by 10 +11.0
01/17 Away LSU +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
01/20 Home Georgia -1.0 L by 2 -3.0
01/24 Home Oklahoma -5.5 W by 1 -4.5
01/27 Away Alabama +10.5 L by 26 -15.5
01/31 Home Mississippi St -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
02/07 Away South Carolina -2.0 W by 19 +17.0
02/11 Away Texas A&M +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
02/14 Home Texas -2.5 L by 17 -19.5
02/18 Home Vanderbilt +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
02/21 Away Arkansas +9.5 L by 8 +1.5
02/24 Home Tennessee +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
02/28 Away Mississippi St -1.5 W by 24 +22.5
03/03 Away Oklahoma -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
03/07 Home Arkansas -2.5 L by 4 -6.5
03/12 Neutral Kentucky +2.5 L by 6 -3.5
03/20 Neutral Miami +1.5 L by 14 -12.5

Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home North Dakota -35.5 W by 29 -6.5
11/08 Away St John's -- W by 7 --
11/13 Home Purdue -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
11/19 Neutral Illinois +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
11/24 Neutral Gonzaga +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
11/25 Neutral UNLV -14.5 W by 39 +24.5
11/26 Neutral Maryland -14.5 W by 33 +18.5
12/03 Home Clemson -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
12/07 Home UTSA -33.5 W by 42 +8.5
12/13 Neutral Arizona +2.5 L by 21 -18.5
12/17 Home S Florida -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
12/21 Neutral Kennesaw St -20.0 W by 11 -9.0
12/29 Home Yale -15.0 W by 24 +9.0
01/03 Home Kentucky -5.5 W by 15 +9.5
01/07 Away Vanderbilt +3.0 L by 6 -3.0
01/10 Home Texas -11.5 L by 4 -15.5
01/13 Away Mississippi St -4.5 W by 15 +10.5
01/17 Away Oklahoma -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
01/24 Home Tennessee -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/27 Home Missouri -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
02/01 Away Florida +9.0 L by 23 -14.0
02/04 Home Texas A&M -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/07 Away Auburn +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/11 Away Mississippi -6.5 W by 19 +12.5
02/14 Home South Carolina -17.5 W by 14 -3.5
02/18 Home Arkansas -4.0 W by 2 -2.0
02/21 Away LSU -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
02/25 Home Mississippi St -12.5 W by 25 +12.5
02/28 Away Tennessee +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
03/03 Away Georgia -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
03/07 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 12 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Mississippi -12.5 L by 1 -13.5
03/20 Neutral Hofstra -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
03/22 Neutral Texas Tech -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
03/27 Neutral Michigan +9.5 L by 13 -3.5