TX Southern at South Dakota: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 15, 2019 8:00 pm - Vermillion, SD
Odds: South Dakota by 11, Total Points: 152

More Games From Nov 15, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TXSO SDAK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TXSO SDAK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 57.9
Field Goal % 43.3% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 40.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 20.0
Free Throw % 71.4% 75.1%
Ball Control TXSO SDAK
Rebounds 37.4 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 7.3
Turnovers 12.1 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.6
Steals 4.0 3.2
Fouls 18.1 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TXSO SDAK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TXSO SDAK
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 30.9%
Player Fouled 24.8% 25.4%
Turnover 17.0% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 4.4% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TXSO SDAK
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 20.5%