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Princeton at Yale: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 29, 2020 7:00 pm - New Haven, CT
Odds: Yale by 8.5, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: PRIN @ YALE

More Games From Feb 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PRIN YALE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PRIN YALE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 55.9
Field Goal % 44.0% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 26.5 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 13.9
Free Throw % 78.3% 69.8%
Ball Control PRIN YALE
Rebounds 29.2 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.6 7.0
Turnovers 7.0 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.2 2.5
Steals 4.6 4.0
Fouls 12.9 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRIN YALE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PRIN YALE
2 Point Attempt 36.4% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 40.0% 27.0%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.5%
Turnover 10.5% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRIN YALE
Shot Blocked 4.6% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 17.0% 22.9%