Pacific at Gonzaga: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 10, 2019 11:00 pm - Spokane, WA
Odds: Gonzaga by 26, Total Points: 156.5

More Games From Jan 10, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC GONZ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PAC GONZ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 52.8
Field Goal % 41.7% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.8 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 14.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 41.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 29.7
Free Throw % 67.8% 68.8%
Ball Control PAC GONZ
Rebounds 32.9 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 8.4
Turnovers 10.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.9
Steals 4.7 5.6
Fouls 19.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC GONZ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PAC GONZ
2 Point Attempt 54.9% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 18.4%
Player Fouled 18.9% 27.1%
Turnover 15.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC GONZ
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 26.3%