Pacific at Santa Clara: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 18, 2020 9:00 pm - Santa Clara, CA
Odds: Santa Clara by 3.5, Total Points: 133

More Games From Jan 18, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC SCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PAC SCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 59.3
Field Goal % 38.9% 52.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 64.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 35.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 23.2
Free Throw % 65.1% 69.6%
Ball Control PAC SCU
Rebounds 24.8 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 19.1 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 13.4
Turnovers 9.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.2
Steals 5.3 4.4
Fouls 16.4 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC SCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PAC SCU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 28.7%
Player Fouled 26.1% 22.9%
Turnover 13.3% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC SCU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 15.1% 41.2%