Jackson St at Baylor: Box Score Simulation

Monday Dec 30, 2019 3:00 pm - Waco, TX
Odds: Baylor by 35, Total Points: 137

More Games From Dec 30, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JKST BAY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JKST BAY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.2 61.8
Field Goal % 30.2% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 33.4% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 22.4% 44.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 24.9
Free Throw % 76.8% 69.4%
Ball Control JKST BAY
Rebounds 26.4 44.2
Rebounds - Defensive 18.0 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 17.1
Turnovers 22.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.2 6.7
Steals 7.6 8.9
Fouls 17.6 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JKST BAY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JKST BAY
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 16.8% 25.3%
Player Fouled 17.9% 24.2%
Turnover 30.2% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken JKST BAY
Shot Blocked 11.0% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 48.7%