Jackson St at Baylor : Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 13, 2011 7:00 pm - Waco, TX
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JST BAY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JST BAY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 46.0
Field Goal % 32.7% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 27.8
2 Point Shooting % 37.9% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 22.8% 40.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.2 29.5
Free Throw % 62.0% 68.6%
Ball Control JST BAY
Rebounds 29.2 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 17.4 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 11.6
Turnovers 12.1 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.3
Steals 4.9 7.9
Fouls 18.9 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JST BAY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JST BAY
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 23.5%
Player Fouled 18.9% 29.0%
Turnover 18.5% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken JST BAY
Shot Blocked 9.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 40.0%