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Pacific at UC Davis: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 1, 2022 9:00 pm - Davis, CA
Odds: UC Davis by 5.5, Total Points: 154

Matchup Menu: PAC @ UCD

More Games From Dec 1, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC UCD
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PAC UCD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.7 54.2
Field Goal % 40.3% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 33.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 24.0
Free Throw % 65.1% 76.1%
Ball Control PAC UCD
Rebounds 27.0 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 10.0
Turnovers 13.2 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.7
Steals 5.7 7.3
Fouls 16.8 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC UCD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PAC UCD
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 26.8%
Player Fouled 26.9% 23.9%
Turnover 18.8% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC UCD
Shot Blocked 6.9% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 32.4%