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Marshall at Syracuse: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Dec 6, 2011 7:00 pm - Syracuse, NY
Odds: Syracuse by 15.5, Total Points: 139

Matchup Menu: MRSH @ SYR

More Games From Dec 6, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH SYR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MRSH SYR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 64.3 59.4
Field Goal % 40.8% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 39.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.1 22.4
Free Throw % 71.7% 72.8%
Ball Control MRSH SYR
Rebounds 38.1 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 7.9
Turnovers 13.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.8
Steals 6.0 9.1
Fouls 15.2 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH SYR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MRSH SYR
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 22.2%
Player Fouled 15.7% 20.4%
Turnover 17.6% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH SYR
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 23.0%