Wofford at App State: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2012 2:00 pm - Boone, NC
Odds: Wofford by 2, Total Points: 128

More Games From Feb 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WOF APP
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WOF APP
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 55.0
Field Goal % 48.3% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 22.4 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 60.4% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 35.3 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 40.6% 32.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 9.2 19.1
Free Throw % 69.2% 73.1%
Ball Control WOF APP
Rebounds 34.4 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.7
Turnovers 13.0 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.8
Steals 4.5 6.7
Fouls 15.5 10.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WOF APP
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WOF APP
2 Point Attempt 28.6% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 45.2% 27.4%
Player Fouled 15.6% 22.9%
Turnover 19.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WOF APP
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 25.7%