This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season.
To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.
North Carolina vs. Wake Forest: Point Spread Analysis
Thursday Mar 13, 2025 2:30 pm -
Charlotte, NC
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
North Carolina by 6,
Total Points:
146.5
Matchup Menu: UNC vs. WAKE
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest +6.0 | Official TR Pick | Wake Forest 51% odds to cover |
| Wake Forest +6.0 | Power Rating Model | Wake Forest 68% odds to cover |
| Wake Forest +6.0 | Decision Tree | Wake Forest 52% odds to cover |
| Wake Forest +6.0 | Predictive Ratings | Wake Forest 50% odds to cover |
| North Carolina -6.0 | Similar Games | North Carolina 55% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 16-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 9-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 12-6-0 | 9-11-0 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 7-7-1 |
North Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | C Arkansas | -31.0 | W by 40 | +9.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | Kansas | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Radford | -20.0 | W by 15 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC Central | -34.0 | W by 44 | +10.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Navy | -26.5 | W by 12 | -14.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | St Bonaventure | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Kentucky | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | Georgetown | -10.5 | W by 20 | +9.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | SC Upstate | -29.5 | W by 18 | -11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Tennessee St | -17.5 | W by 19 | +1.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Ohio St | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | E Carolina | -25.5 | W by 48 | +22.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 13 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | SMU | +1.0 | L by 14 | -13.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wake Forest | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Stanford | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | California | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Virginia | +6.5 | W by 5 | +11.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Georgia Tech | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Syracuse | -11.5 | W by 10 | -1.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Duke | +6.0 | W by 3 | +9.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -1.0 | L by 9 | -10.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Pittsburgh | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | NC State | +8.0 | L by 24 | -16.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Louisville | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Virginia Tech | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Clemson | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Duke | +18.5 | L by 15 | +3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Clemson | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | VCU | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
Wake Forest Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | American | -20.0 | W by 14 | -6.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | Morehead St | -22.5 | W by 16 | -6.5 |
| 11/11 | Neutral | Michigan | +15.0 | L by 1 | +14.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | UMass Lowell | -31.0 | W by 34 | +3.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +9.5 | L by 1 | +8.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Memphis | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Campbell | -17.5 | W by 48 | +30.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Northeastern | -17.5 | W by 13 | -4.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Oklahoma | -4.5 | L by 18 | -22.5 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | West Virginia | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Queens | -18.5 | W by 38 | +19.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Longwood | -24.0 | W by 3 | -21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Vanderbilt | +6.0 | L by 31 | -25.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | NC State | +10.0 | L by 13 | -3.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Virginia Tech | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Miami | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | North Carolina | +10.0 | L by 3 | +7.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Florida St | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | SMU | -1.5 | L by 12 | -13.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Duke | +18.0 | L by 21 | -3.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Pittsburgh | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | NC State | +6.0 | L by 18 | -12.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Louisville | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Georgia Tech | -3.0 | W by 16 | +13.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Stanford | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Clemson | +3.5 | W by 8 | +11.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Virginia Tech | +4.0 | L by 19 | -15.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Boston College | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Syracuse | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Virginia | +14.5 | L by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | California | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Virginia Tech | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Clemson | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 03/18 | Home | Navy | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 03/22 | Home | Illinois St | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |