Indiana St at Valparaiso: Recap

Sunday Feb 15, 2026 2:00 pm - Valparaiso, IN
Odds: Valparaiso by 4.5, Total Points: 144

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Valparaiso INST 33.4%
VALP 66.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
VALP -4.5 INST 47.9%
VALP 52.1%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 144.0 Over 55.0%
Under 45.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off INST -1.2%
VALP -2.6%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
INST 70.5 69.8 75
VALP 75.5 74.2 76

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat INST VALP
Points/Game 71.7 71.2
Avg Score Margin -3.4 -0.7
Assists/Game 17.1 11.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 34.1 36.1
Effective FG % 52.9% 47.6%
Off Rebound % 22.8% 30.3%
FTA/FGA 0.275 0.391
Turnover % 17.4% 13.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat INST VALP
Opp Points/Game 75.1 71.9
Opp Effective FG % 50.2% 50.5%
Off Rebounds/Gm 6.9 9.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 22.9 22.1
Blocks/Game 3.3 3.6
Steals/Game 6.0 5.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.2 18.0