Arizona St at USC: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 29, 2020 8:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: Southern California by 3, Total Points: 142

More Games From Feb 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU USC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ASU USC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 52.7
Field Goal % 35.4% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 39.6% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 36.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 30.5
Free Throw % 72.4% 65.6%
Ball Control ASU USC
Rebounds 29.7 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 11.0
Turnovers 8.8 13.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.8
Steals 5.8 4.0
Fouls 20.3 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU USC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ASU USC
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 19.9%
Player Fouled 22.3% 27.2%
Turnover 11.9% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU USC
Shot Blocked 9.2% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 33.6%