Arizona St at Tulsa: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 3, 2011 4:00 pm - Tulsa, OK
Odds: Tulsa by 8.5, Total Points: 127

More Games From Dec 3, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ASU TLSA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ASU TLSA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 53.5
Field Goal % 38.3% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 28.7 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 29.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 20.3
Free Throw % 71.2% 70.4%
Ball Control ASU TLSA
Rebounds 29.6 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.7
Turnovers 10.8 14.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.9
Steals 7.0 5.5
Fouls 16.3 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ASU TLSA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ASU TLSA
2 Point Attempt 35.9% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 26.0%
Player Fouled 23.6% 22.7%
Turnover 15.0% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ASU TLSA
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 30.2%