Richmond at Geo Wshgtn : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 18, 2012 7:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: Richmond by 1.5, Total Points: 125

More Games From Jan 18, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting RICH GWSH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 53.0
Field Goal % 43.1% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 13.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 30.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 19.6
Free Throw % 66.2% 66.3%
Ball Control RICH GWSH
Rebounds 29.5 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 12.7
Turnovers 8.6 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.0
Steals 6.3 3.8
Fouls 15.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH GWSH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with RICH GWSH
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 17.6%
Player Fouled 23.8% 23.8%
Turnover 13.4% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH GWSH
Shot Blocked 5.8% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 36.4%