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Michigan St vs. North Carolina: Over/Under Analysis
Wednesday Nov 27, 2024 9:30 pm -
Lahaina, HI
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
North Carolina by 5.5,
Total Points:
157.5
Matchup Menu: MSU vs. UNC
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 157.5 | Official TR Pick | 53% odds to go over |
| Over 157.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go over |
| Under 157.5 | Similar Games | 67% odds to go under |
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-19-0 | 14-19-0 |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| vs Conference | 11-10-0 | 10-9-0 |
| Streak | Un 2 | Ov 2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 |
| Home | 7-10-0 | 6-12-0 |
| Away | 9-9-0 | 8-7-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Michigan St Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Colgate | 144.5 | 80-69 | Over | +4.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Arkansas | 155.5 | 69-66 | Under | -20.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | San Jose St | 143.0 | 79-60 | Under | -4.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Kentucky | 153.0 | 83-66 | Under | -4.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Detroit Mercy | 152.5 | 84-56 | Under | -12.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | E Carolina | 142.0 | 89-56 | Over | +3.0 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | North Carolina | 152.5 | 74-58 | Under | -20.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Iowa | 134.0 | 71-52 | Under | -11.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Duke | 141.5 | 60-66 | Under | -15.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | Penn St | 145.0 | 76-72 | Over | +3.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Toledo | 150.5 | 92-69 | Over | +10.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oakland | 154.5 | 79-70 | Under | -5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Cornell | 160.5 | 114-97 | Over | +50.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Nebraska | 146.5 | 56-58 | Under | -32.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | USC | 150.5 | 80-51 | Under | -19.5 |
| 01/08 | Home | Northwestern | 144.0 | 76-66 | Under | -2.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Indiana | 145.5 | 81-60 | Under | -4.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Washington | 146.0 | 80-63 | Under | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Oregon | 140.0 | 68-52 | Under | -20.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | 139.5 | 91-48 | Under | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Rutgers | 139.0 | 88-79 | Over | +28.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | 150.5 | 71-83 | Over | +3.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Minnesota | 134.5 | 73-76 | Over | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Illinois | 143.5 | 85-82 | Over | +23.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Wisconsin | 148.0 | 71-92 | Over | +15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | UCLA | 139.5 | 82-59 | Over | +1.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Ohio St | 146.5 | 66-60 | Under | -20.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | Purdue | 143.5 | 76-74 | Over | +6.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Indiana | 144.5 | 77-64 | Under | -3.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Rutgers | 141.5 | 91-87 | Over | +36.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Michigan | 152.5 | 80-90 | Over | +17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | UCLA | 141.5 | 84-88 | Over | +30.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | N Dakota St | 143.5 | 92-67 | Over | +15.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Louisville | 151.5 | 77-69 | Under | -5.5 |
| 03/27 | Neutral | UConn | 136.5 | 63-67 | Under | -6.5 |
North Carolina Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | C Arkansas | 157.5 | 94-54 | Under | -9.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Kansas | 158.0 | 87-74 | Over | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Radford | 163.5 | 89-74 | Under | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC Central | 159.5 | 97-53 | Under | -9.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Navy | 161.0 | 73-61 | Under | -27.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | St Bonaventure | 151.5 | 85-70 | Over | +3.5 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | Michigan St | 152.5 | 58-74 | Under | -20.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Kentucky | 163.5 | 67-64 | Under | -32.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | Georgetown | 149.5 | 81-61 | Under | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | SC Upstate | 152.5 | 80-62 | Under | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Tennessee St | 150.5 | 77-58 | Under | -15.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Ohio St | 157.5 | 71-70 | Under | -16.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | E Carolina | 144.5 | 99-51 | Over | +5.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Florida St | 166.5 | 79-66 | Under | -21.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | SMU | 155.5 | 83-97 | Over | +24.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wake Forest | 155.0 | 87-84 | Over | +16.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Stanford | 148.0 | 90-95 | Over | +37.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | California | 151.0 | 78-84 | Over | +11.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Notre Dame | 149.0 | 91-69 | Over | +11.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Virginia | 148.5 | 85-80 | Over | +16.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Georgia Tech | 159.5 | 91-75 | Over | +6.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Syracuse | 158.0 | 87-77 | Over | +6.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Duke | 151.5 | 71-68 | Under | -12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | 156.5 | 66-75 | Under | -15.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Pittsburgh | 144.5 | 79-65 | Under | -0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | NC State | 155.5 | 58-82 | Under | -15.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Syracuse | 154.0 | 77-64 | Under | -13.0 |
| 02/23 | Home | Louisville | 162.5 | 77-74 | Under | -11.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Virginia Tech | 149.5 | 89-82 | Over | +21.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Clemson | 141.5 | 67-63 | Under | -11.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Duke | 147.5 | 61-76 | Under | -10.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Clemson | 140.5 | 79-80 | Over | +18.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | VCU | 150.5 | 78-82 | Over | +9.5 |