Michigan St at Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 23, 2020 8:30 pm - Bloomington, IN
Odds: Michigan St by 4, Total Points: 143.5

More Games From Jan 23, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSU IND
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MSU IND
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 57.7
Field Goal % 44.6% 37.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 40.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 29.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 21.4
Free Throw % 74.5% 67.5%
Ball Control MSU IND
Rebounds 38.2 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.2
Turnovers 11.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.7
Steals 5.0 5.5
Fouls 16.0 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSU IND
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MSU IND
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 21.1%
Player Fouled 21.4% 22.9%
Turnover 16.4% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSU IND
Shot Blocked 6.5% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 25.6%