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SC Upstate at NC-Asheville

  Sunday Dec 4, 2011 - 2:00 pm - Asheville, NC | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: SCU | UNCA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCU UNCA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting SCU UNCA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 57.1
Field Goal % 42.7% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 17.0
Free Throw % 66.5% 72.6%

Ball Control SCU UNCA
Rebounds 37.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 12.0
Turnovers 9.9 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.5
Steals 7.3 5.2
Fouls 14.3 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCU UNCA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with SCU UNCA
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 29.0%
Player Fouled 22.5% 20.8%
Turnover 14.5% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken SCU UNCA
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.7% 33.1%