SC Upstate at NC-Asheville : Box Score Simulation

Sunday Dec 4, 2011 2:00 pm - Asheville, NC
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCU UNCA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SCU UNCA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 58.5
Field Goal % 43.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 34.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 26.0
Free Throw % 65.5% 68.8%
Ball Control SCU UNCA
Rebounds 35.3 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.1
Turnovers 16.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.0
Steals 4.2 10.2
Fouls 18.5 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCU UNCA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SCU UNCA
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 22.5%
Player Fouled 19.1% 25.0%
Turnover 22.1% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 13.8% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCU UNCA
Shot Blocked 5.2% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 30.6%