Michigan St at Wisconsin: Recap

Friday Feb 13, 2026 8:00 pm - Madison, WI
Odds: Michigan State by 2, Total Points: 148

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Michigan St MSU 54.6%
WIS 45.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
WIS +2.0 MSU 49.7%
WIS 50.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 148.0 Over 50.4%
Under 49.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
WIS +122 MSU -4.1%
WIS +0.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MSU 75.1 75.0 71
WIS 73.1 73.0 92

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MSU WIS
Points/Game 78.7 82.8
Avg Score Margin +11.7 +7.8
Assists/Game 18.4 15.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 40.3 36.3
Effective FG % 53.7% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 37.2% 27.5%
FTA/FGA 0.364 0.326
Turnover % 14.6% 11.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MSU WIS
Opp Points/Game 67.0 75.0
Opp Effective FG % 47.7% 51.0%
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.1 8.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 26.2 23.9
Blocks/Game 4.2 3.1
Steals/Game 5.2 5.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.1 17.1