TN Martin at UAB : Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 27, 2011 4:00 pm - Birmingham, AL
Odds: UAB by 16.5, Total Points: 126.5

More Games From Nov 27, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TMAR UAB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TMAR UAB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 57.8
Field Goal % 41.1% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 41.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 10.9 19.4
Free Throw % 74.1% 74.4%
Ball Control TMAR UAB
Rebounds 29.2 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 11.4
Turnovers 12.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.5
Steals 5.6 5.4
Fouls 16.4 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TMAR UAB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TMAR UAB
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 35.0% 29.3%
Player Fouled 16.8% 23.8%
Turnover 17.6% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TMAR UAB
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 35.0%