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Wichita St at Illinois St : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 22, 2012 8:05 pm - Normal, IL
Odds: Wichita St. by 5.5, Total Points: 138

More Games From Feb 22, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WIST ILST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 56.3
Field Goal % 45.1% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 28.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 27.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 37.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.3 20.2
Free Throw % 72.7% 66.7%
Ball Control WIST ILST
Rebounds 44.4 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.1 6.5
Turnovers 9.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.2
Steals 4.9 5.1
Fouls 16.0 20.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIST ILST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WIST ILST
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 35.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 34.1%
Player Fouled 27.5% 22.1%
Turnover 12.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIST ILST
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 37.7% 17.6%