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Wichita St at Illinois St : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 22, 2012 8:05 pm - Normal, IL
Odds: Wichita St. by 5.5, Total Points: 138

More Games From Feb 22, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WIST ILST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 55.7
Field Goal % 38.1% 37.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 38.9% 41.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 31.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 16.4
Free Throw % 73.7% 63.6%
Ball Control WIST ILST
Rebounds 41.7 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 8.9
Turnovers 9.3 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.6
Steals 5.4 4.9
Fouls 14.3 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIST ILST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WIST ILST
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 31.1%
Player Fouled 24.2% 21.1%
Turnover 13.7% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIST ILST
Shot Blocked 8.4% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.3% 23.4%