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Wichita St at Illinois St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 22, 2012 8:05 pm - Normal, IL
Odds: Wichita St. by 5.5, Total Points: 138

Matchup Menu: WICH @ ILST

More Games From Feb 22, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WICH ILST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WICH ILST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 58.3
Field Goal % 45.9% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 28.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 17.7
Free Throw % 69.7% 73.0%
Ball Control WICH ILST
Rebounds 36.1 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.3
Turnovers 9.9 9.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.5
Steals 4.8 5.8
Fouls 14.2 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WICH ILST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WICH ILST
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 27.0%
Player Fouled 18.3% 21.0%
Turnover 14.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WICH ILST
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 27.9%